Muscatine

Rasmussen polls

Posted in: Muscatine

Msmal, in the email that you rec'd from newsmax it states that both Rasmussen and Schoen are respected pollsters. I stated earlier that Doug Schoen was on Fox News and they identified him as a "Democratic Pollster".

 

Like HiRoad says, we waste our "breath" on you as you will only believe the liberal left, but in the end, the proof of the polls is in the "pudding". So please feel free to rant away.

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  • hiroad
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As they said a long time ago on SNL: "Jane, you ignorant s..t"!

 

You posted:  "I'm comparing Rasmussen to other pollsters.   Sure they ask different populations.   It's just that Rasmussen seems to select  (ha ha) a population which gives the appearance (ha ha) that the conservative candidate or position is more favorable than what other pollsters find."

 

Rasmussen has always "selected" likely voters  as their polling population.  That IS their poll!  I imagine they've alwiays polled that population because they understand that that population actually are the ones that vote and elect people!!!

At the present time, that population leans to and favors the right rather than the left.  It hasn't always been that way.  Rasmussen just reports.  Why do you feel the need to display your stupidity?

 

You posted: "In a lot of, if not most, cases they're not prdicting outcomes but giving opinions of trends or what is happening at a particular momoent."  

 

Look, Einstein, it doesn't matter what the opinions of the likely voters are right now, other than as a measure predicting what will happen on the day they vote!  That's what we are observing in a Rasmussen poll, "LIKELY VOTERS".   The current opinion on any particular day is ephemeral.  You have to look at the trends in order to know what will likely happen.  That's what Rasmussen does!

 

The accuracy of All polls are judged by the outcomes of elections!.  Elections are the only true measure we have to judge the accuracy of any poll.  Elections are the "big" state run poll!   There is no other true measure.  Rasmussen is one of the most accurate in predicting outcomes of elections. 

From Fordham University:  http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics/graduate_schools/gsas/elections_and_campaign_/poll%20accuracy%20in%20the%202008%20presidential%20election.pdf

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As they said a long time ago on SNL: "Jane, you ignorant s..t"!

 

Still name calling

 

Rasmussen has always "selected" likely voters  as their polling population.  That IS their poll!  I imagine they've alwiays polled that population because they understand that that population actually are the ones that vote and elect people!!!

 

I don't care if they ask likely voters, registered voters, all adults, all citizens or all residents.   If they would ask in the 4th ward of Muscatine and in Bloomington township, the results would be vastly different, perhaps close to a mirror image of each other.  So you can still skew the results by selecting the "right" population.

 

At the present time, that population leans to and favors the right rather than the left.  It hasn't always been that way.  Rasmussen just reports.  Why do you feel the need to display your stupidity?

 

More name calling.

 

You posted: "In a lot of, if not most, cases they're not prdicting outcomes but giving opinions of trends or what is happening at a particular momoent."  

 

Look, Einstein, (Another compliment or more name calling?)it doesn't matter what the opinions of the likely voters are right now, other than as a measure predicting what will happen on the day they vote!  That's what we are observing in a Rasmussen poll, "LIKELY VOTERS".   The current opinion on any particular day is ephemeral.  You have to look at the trends in order to know what will likely happen.  That's what Rasmussen does!

 

I also posted why accuracy does matter even though there is no immediate election .   Go back and read it again.   If you still don't understand it, let me know and I'll try to clear it up for you.

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